This week, the mortgage rates remained relatively stable across various terms, with the 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 5.990%, as seen on October 14th.

Experts highlight that in the current market environment, any trend that isn’t “upward” is considered a win. Since the employment report released on October 4th, rates have surged at the second-fastest pace this year, continuing to climb last Wednesday. While rates have stabilized since then, they have not yet returned to the lower levels seen a few weeks ago.

When analyzing the current shifts in rates, understanding the underlying background factors is crucial. In the short term, the increase of about 0.50% in rates over the past month can be disheartening. However, comparing it to early April of this year, rates have actually decreased by nearly a full percentage point. In fact, rates are approximately 1.4% lower than they were this time last year. This level of improvement is considered solid, especially given that the economy has not slipped into recession.

Looking ahead, experts note that the upcoming retail sales data will be a key focus for the market and could significantly influence future rate trends.